he West Bengal meeting elections in April-May 2021, a touch over a 12 months from now, will probable be the maximum crucial turning factor for Narendra Modi’s 2d term. Narendra Modi and Amit Shah have made Bengal a remember of prestige. The concept of a national National Register of Citizens (NRC) to affirm the citizenship claims of all Indians is really approximately the BJP’s efforts to win West Bengal. In fact, President Ram Nath Kovind in his cope with to Parliament withinside the first consultation after Modi’s re-election said the National Register of Citizens might be created in bordering areas, implying that it is able to now no longer take location throughout the u . s . a .. Why punish the complete u . s . a . simply to label each Bengali Muslim a Bangladeshi? And yet, Bengal is so crucial for the BJP that fears of an NRC had been allowed to create panic throughout India, protests throughout the world. Modi’s worldwide photograph has been allowed to take a intense blow. The overtly stated “chronology” among the Citizenship (Amendment) Act and the NRC had been allowed to debris with peace and balance withinside the northeast, specially Assam.

What is it approximately West Bengal that the BJP seems to be inclined to sacrifice a lot for it? Put plainly, West Bengal is the brand new Uttar Pradesh. If the BJP may want to win West Bengal, it'll have created a feel of invincibility, and for this reason a feel of the inevitability of the BJP’s go back to strength on the Centre for a 3rd consecutive term. The victory in UP, the broadly ordinary semi-final, got here like a pressure of nature. It killed any feel of task to the BJP’s open efforts to set up one-birthday birthday celebration rule. Critics and dissenters, corporates and media, competition events and worldwide community, all ordinary it as fait accompli that Modi changed into too famous to lose 2019.

This had an impact of demoralising the competition and making it surrender. Nitish Kumar, whilst dumping Lalu Yadav and becoming a member of forces with the BJP in mid-2017, famously declared there has been no threat anymore of all of us defeating Modi in 2019. That’s how invincible the BJP have become with UP.

The BJP really did very poorly in country meeting elections after that. It pretty much scraped via on its domestic turf of Gujarat. It couldn’t win a majority in Karnataka no matter an anti-incumbency marketing campaign towards the ruling Congress and Janata Dal (Secular). It misplaced its strongholds in principal India, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, and couldn’t forestall the inevitable ‘flip of the roti’ in Rajasthan. The concept that the BJP had modified the guidelines of the game, that anti-incumbency didn’t follow to it and nobody may want to get the higher of Amit Shah’s Chankayaniti, all lay in tatters.